Saturday, January 31, 2009

Inspection and testing resources

Here are 3 useful websites related to inspections and testing:

We've included links to the above sites on our inspection and testing page, under buying real estate. We've also listed the contact info for three licensed home inspectors that come highly-recommended by our buyer clients.

Thursday, January 29, 2009

Sixty to Seventy listings expected for February 8th west side open house event

I'm pleased to write we have about 50 listings on board for the February 8th open house event on Madison's west side - with more listings signing up soon. See this madison.com post for a list of participating homes, condos, and open house times. We'll continue to update the list up to the day of the event.

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Dane County foreclosure map

This very informative map shows Dane County foreclosures by location during the years 2005 through 2007. Even more useful, it maps foreclosure density (the number of foreclosures per 100 household units). Two things jump out at me when I view this map:

  1. As expected, the city of Madison accounts for a large percentage of Dane County foreclosures (each red dot represents a foreclosure).
  2. However, foreclosure density tends to be highest along the perimeter of Madison and in a few surrounding communities (look for the census areas that are shaded dark green). This data implies the real estate market will be most affected by foreclosures in the areas that have the highest foreclosure densities.
Thanks to Russ Kashian from UW Whitewater and Matt Kures from the UW Extension Center for Community and Economic Development for publishing this map. They will be publishing a new map soon which will be based on 2008 foreclosure data. We'll share that map when it's available.

On a related note, Dane County foreclosures continue to rise. Foreclosures this month have already surpassed the total from January of 2008. We'll publish our January report in about two weeks. In the meantime, you'll find our December foreclosure report on the economic trends page at DaneCountyMarket.com.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

How to research delinquent property taxes

Researching a mortgage is one very good way you or your buyer agent can learn about a seller's position prior to making your offer. Another very useful research exercise you can undertake is to look at whether or not the seller has fallen behind on his property tax payments. Why is this important? Because a seller will need to pay off any delinquent taxes by the time of closing before the property can change hands.

Checking for delinquent taxes is easy to do and takes only a few minutes of time. Here's how you do it:

  1. Go to Access Dane.
  2. Select Public Access.
  3. Select Parcel Information.
  4. Select Query by Parcel Address.
  5. Enter the Address Number and Street Name and click Search. A property information page will appear, including a section on taxes that looks like this:


Note Access Dane has flagged the above property as having delinquent property taxes. To find out how much the seller owes in back taxes (including penalties and interest), all you or your buyer agent need to do is send an email to the Treasurer's Office. The Treasurer's Office will return your email with an itemization of how much the seller owes in back taxes, penalties and interest. More great information to have as you prepare for your offer.

There are many more ways that you can research a property prior to making your offer. For more information, you find these articles on the DaneCountyMarket buying real estate page useful:

Friday, January 23, 2009

December home sales down 12%, condo sales down 41%

In November, we saw Dane County home and condo sales decrease by more than 34% from the previous November - a clear result of the economic news that started making headlines in September.

Then mortgage rates plunged, and in December we saw renewed interest from buyers who were spurred to action by low rates. How did this uptick in buyer activity translate into sales?

Home sales decreased in December, but at a more moderate rate of 12%.


Condo sales were down sharply - by 41%.


We expected home and condo sales to be lower in December. The impact of lower rates won't take hold until buyers start making their offers and closing on their homes. For this reason, February will be a good month to gauge the impact of lower mortgage rates.

What was a little surprising about the month of December was the continued sharp decrease in condo sales. Forty-one percent - that's a significant number.

For more information on the December numbers, you'll find our preliminary market report on both the buying real estate and selling real estate pages at DaneCountyMarket.com.

Monday, January 19, 2009

Three useful real estate maps

You'll find these maps and map-based websites useful if you have an interest in buying local real estate:

All of these maps (and others) are available with our map links on the DaneCountyMarket buying real estate page. If you know of a useful map that you would like to see on our site, feel free to drop us a line and we'll be happy to add the link.

Sunday, January 18, 2009

Dane County housing starts reach a new low in December

Both mortgage rates and housing starts have reached new lows.

Dane County housing starts totaled 20 in December, down 74% from the 78 housing starts in December of 2007. Data comes from MTD Marketing Services of Wisconsin.

Here's how Dane County housing starts have stacked up for each of the last 10 Decembers:

  • December 1999: 150
  • December 2000: 125
  • December 2001: 177
  • December 2002: 178
  • December 2003: 210
  • December 2004: 202
  • December 2005: 134
  • December 2006: 68
  • December 2007: 78
  • December 2008: 20

That's an incredible drop. The 20 housing starts last month were down over 90% from the peak December in 2003.

You'll find our full housing start report, including a summary of the 2008 year, on the real estate trends page at DaneCountyMarket.com. A special thanks to Dominic Collar of MTD Marketing Services of Wisconsin, for allowing us to share his data. For more information, you can contact Dominic at 920/993-8435.

Saturday, January 17, 2009

Mortgage rates reach new lows

Every Thursday Freddie Mac publishes the results of its weekly mortgage market survey. This week, for the first time in recent memory, the average rate for a 30 year fixed rate loan dipped below 5% to 4.96%. The average rate for a 15 year fixed rate loan fell to 4.65%.

Here's how the Freddie Mac survey results have trended over the last 20 weeks:


This graph shows the monthly averages for 2008 and the annual averages for every year spanning from 1992 to 2007.


Will rates trend even lower? Some people in the field think they will. Whether they do or not, the graphs above make it clear that rates right now are as good as they've ever been. If you've been thinking of buying or refinancing, you'll find these links helpful. This link includes current rates from local lenders. This link includes mortgage calculators from local lenders. You'll also find plenty of other useful links and articles on the buying real estate page at DaneCountyMarket.com.

Friday, January 16, 2009

How home prices have been changing in surrounding communities

We've reviewed how prices have changed for Madison homes that sold twice via the MLS over a short period of time. Sixty-one percent of those homes on the west side sold the second time around at a price that was at or above the most recent selling price. On the east side, forty-seven percent of those homes sold at or above the most recent purchase price.

We've taken the same look at price trends for a number of other Dane County communities. Overall, 50% of the homes we sampled sold the second time around for a price that was at or above the most recent selling price. The results for each community are summarized below.


We've posted the full list of transactions for each of these communities on the real estate trends page at DaneCountyMarket.com. These links will take you to the transaction list for each community:

How did we come up with our data? First, we identified all of the homes that sold via the MLS in 2008. Then we identified the subset of these homes that also sold on the MLS during either 2005, 2006 or 2007. For each of these homes we calculated the price difference between the first and second sale.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

A closer look at Madison East home prices

We recently looked at homes on Madison's west side that sold twice via the MLS in a short period of time. We learned 61% of those homes sold the second time around at a price that was at or above the most recent selling price (39% percent sold for a price decrease).

We've taken the same view of homes on Madison's east side, and here's what we've found:

  • 47% of the homes on Madison's east side sold the second time around at a price that was at or above the most recent selling price. The highest price increase was $113,000.
  • 53% of the homes sold at a loss the second time around. The largest loss was $100,000.
We've posted the details for each property on the DaneCountyMarket real estate trends page. We've also provided more information on the methods we used to collect and summarize the MLS data.

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Dane County foreclosures up 41% in December

Dane County foreclosures increased from 73 in December of 2007 to 103 last month, up 41%. A total of 1,312 foreclosures were filed in 2008, up 46% from last year's total of 898.

The graph below shows how Dane County foreclosures have grown each of the past 4 years. The 1,312 foreclosures in 2008 more than tripled the 422 foreclosure filings from 2004.

You'll find our full foreclosure report for the month of December and the 2008 year on the economic trends page at DaneCountyMarket.com.

Follow the market in your neighborhood

A number of Realtors, including our real estate team, are investing in a relatively new and very cool tool that allows friends and customers to easily track the market in their location of choice. Users receive a monthly update that includes information on current listings, as well as listing details for properties that have recently sold.

Here's a sample view of the tool. Each green property represents an active listing. Each red property represents a listing that has recently sold.




From this birds eye view you can choose to learn more about any of the properties in the list. Additional details include a property description, list of amenities, MLS ID and photo.

This tool is especially handy for people, such as relocating buyers, who want to learn more about a particular neighborhood. In addition to the market information mentioned above, the tool provides a map that displays information on area schools, parks, places of worship, restaurants and shops, entertainment venues, and other neighborhood features.

Talk to your Realtor if you feel this tool would be beneficial to you. Or you can check out this brief article on DaneCountyMarket.com. It tells you more about the tool and how it can be customized to match your interests. The tool is easy-to-use and free of charge.

Saturday, January 10, 2009

A closer look at Madison west home prices

The MLS median price is a good measure for tracking the market. It tells us what buyers are willing and able to pay when they make their real estate purchase. The median price measure does have one important limitation: It doesn't tell us how prices for the same properties are changing over time.

To answer this question, we looked to the MLS database for some answers. First, we identified all of the homes on Madison's west side that sold via the MLS during 2008. Then we identified the subset of these homes that also sold via the MLS during 2005, 2006 or 2007.

Here's what we found:

  • Of the homes that sold via the MLS in 2008, 116 also sold via the MLS in 2005, 2006 or 2007.
  • 71 of the 116 homes (61%) sold in 2008 for a price that was at or above the most recent selling price.
  • 45 of the 116 homes (39%) sold in 2008 for a loss.

We've posted the details for each property on the DaneCountyMarket real estate trends page. The details shed some further light on the market. For example:

  • Investors are still "fixing and flipping" properties in the current market. The highest price increase was over $433,000 - for a property that was bought and then sold 9 months later.
  • Some neighborhoods have stronger price trends than others.
  • Some sellers have taken some big losses in recent months, while some buyers have clearly come away with some good deals.

We'll take a closer look at other markets in the coming weeks. Our next market will be Madison's east side.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

West side open house event scheduled for Sunday, February 8th

Several fellow Realtors and I are organizing an open house event for a large portion of Madison's west side on Sunday, February 8th. Our goal is to coordinate several dozen open houses, to make it easy for people to get out and view this year's inventory of homes and condos. We'll be sharing more details about the open house event soon.

On a related note, rates for 30 year fixed rate mortgages were as low as 5% yesterday, and for some lenders, even lower. If you've been planning to buy or refinance, now is a great time to speak with your lender. Rates are as low as they've ever been.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

What percent of all Dane County sales go to condos?

Condos accounted for 24% of all residential sales (homes and condos) through November of 2008, down from 26% the year before. Data comes from the South Central Wisconsin MLS.

Although the condo sales mix is down slightly this year, it is still well above the percentage from just a few years ago. Condos accounted for only 18% of all sales in the year 2000. That number grew to 25% in 2004 and peaked at 27% in 2005 and 2006.

We'll keep you posted in 2009. You'll find our condo sales mix report updated monthly on the DaneCountyMarket real estate trends page.

Sunday, January 4, 2009

Inventory at its lowest point of the year, but on the rise soon

Dane County home and condo inventory stood at 4,368 units on December 31st - 229 lower than the inventory level from 12/31/2007. The graph below shows inventory dipped to its lowest point of the year (green = condos, blue = homes, purple = homes and condos combined).

The graph also shows how inventory varies with the seasons. Take a look at last year. Home and condo inventory grew by 1,070 units from 12/31/2007 to 4/30/2008 as many sellers listed their properties in time for the peak buying season.

We'll see a similar trend this year. This means buyers will have more to choose from this Spring, but along with that a lot more competition from other buyers. And although it's a down market, many properties will sell quickly this Spring due to the seasonal flood of buyers - especially in areas and price ranges where inventory is low.

There's one other interesting thing about the graph above: there weren't any seasonal ebbs and flows of inventory during 2005 and 2006. Inventory kept rising as new properties flooded the market. All of this happened as the demand for housing started to subside.

For more inventory information, check out our full set of reports on the buying real estate and selling real estate pages at DaneCountyMarket.com:

Friday, January 2, 2009

UW Credit Union first-time homebuyer seminar is January 13th

UW Credit Union's first seminar of the year is Tuesday, January 13th from 6:30 to 8:00 PM at 3500 University Ave. Topics include:

  • Is buying a home right for you?
  • The process of buying a home.
  • Different loan options.
  • How to get pre-approved so you can start looking for a home in your price range.
You can register online here. The Credit Union holds a number of seminars throughout the year. If you can't make this one, the next one is Tuesday, February 10th (same time, same place).

If you purchase your first home in 2009, can you claim your $7,500 tax credit with your 2008 return?

You can claim the $7,500 first-time homebuyer tax credit on your 2008 return if you purchase your home prior to filing your return. For example, if you purchase your first home on March 1st, and you file your taxes on April 15th, you'll receive the tax credit with your 2008 tax return.

For more information, you'll find this brief description of the tax credit on the DaneCountyMarket buying real estate page helpful. These FAQ documents from the National Association of Realtors and the National Association of Home Builders provide an additional level of detail.